Through IRON I meant iron ore, pig iron, steel, scrap metal and other prime materials Japan needed for the war and got from the USA. Japan imported most of the war materials it needed. This is why it needed to concentrate on occupying the resource rich areas in the south Pacific and SE Asia. During a war with the SU, they would have consumed large amounts of ammunitions, fuel, spare parts, lost equipment, soldiers etc. These in turn would consume resources they badly needed for a war with the US, which they knew they stood little chance of winning, especially if they waited too much.IAR80 wrote: IRON: Of course, for tanks and airplanes, mainly.
IAR80 wrote: OIL: Sure, such a campaign would require fuel, but a campaign in the Far East would use up less fuel than a trip to the Hawaii and back of a whole carrier battlegroup. Much less, I dare to say.
You must be joking!
Yes, it would, since it will put the Japanese in a worse starting position than they actually had, this leading to even less chances of success.IAR80 wrote: What I would like to underline is that such a campaign would not at all be a costly gamble like the one started in Dec 1941, this is my opinion, although I will be documenting myself further.
What would they loose? Everything!IAR80 wrote: What would the japanese gain?
Again, in the short term, nothing.
You say that the campaign against the US wouldn’t be affected and then you say that there was the real possibility of defeat? Make up your mind already!IAR80 wrote: But neither would the Pearl Harbour attack, or the campaign in the Philipines, or the seizing of the Dutch Indies be affected in any significant way, even though there would be the very real posibility of the whole japanese armed forces running on fumes.
OK, what just happened? When did the UK loose the war. I thought that only Russia would loose it in 1941. Why also the UK?IAR80 wrote: In the long term, with Russia and UK defeated, seizing most of southern Asia and also forcing China into surrender, by 1942 Japan would stand some chance of resisting the US, at least survive until Hitler would offer some kind of help.
Another thing would be: what on Earth can Hitler do to assist Japan?!