IMO, it doesn't make much sense for the Germans to attack the Soviet Union if they withdraw from France.thaddeus_c wrote: ↑17 Jul 2021 17:05they probably could have struck some deal where they largely withdraw from France. held all the KM in Norway as a fleet-in-being (or a fleet-in-waiting) prior to Barbarossa, been more effective blocking the Arctic Convoys?
obtained some of the French auxiliary cruisers already in the Med to bolster the KM there? absent the French Atlantic uboat bunkers, allowing the use of Tunis and Aleppo might seem a good deal to the French side?
Also, pressuring Paris into allowing the use of Tunis and Aleppo will just antagonize them. Better to let France stay completely neutral, with strong national capabilities, but remove any and all casus belli from the relationship. A 'no victor, no vanquished' type of situation, where the armistice with Germany leaves France wholly intact, and effectively only undoes the declaration of war of 9/3/1939. With an anticommunist, conservative-authoritarian government at the helm, and with Germany's benign intentions toward France established via the armistice conditions, I don't see France resuming hostilities.