According to the Germano-Italian treaty, Italy was supposed to deploy an entire Corps on the left of the German line at the outset of war, and it was not clear this would not be happening until Italy clarified its stance, and this also adds further reasons Germany was trying to get Austria to grant any concession demanded by Italy from the moment the Germans were sure Austria was determined upon war.
These two are a one or the other choice. If 2nd Army heads to the Balkans as it did historically, the Russians will massively outnumber the Austrians and inflict very similar defeats upon them as historically even if Przemysl doesnt fall into Russian hands. 2nd army was desperately needed in the Carpathians, not in Serbia. Also, the Italians had already agreed to a non-agression pact with France in 1902, something the Germans guessed at but remained secret until 1918, and really had no reason to attack France as all the gains they wanted were in the Adriatic and on the Austrian border.JAG13 wrote: ↑18 Sep 2019 04:31It also means no Przemysl losses, no Carpathian losses for the KuK, no real incentive for Italian intervention on that side... and yes, make a better case for siding with the CPs, although I am pretty sure the Italian industry would be swamped with French money in order to try to woo the Italians.
Why? Germany is on the other side of the world to Japan, what are they going to do about it? Declare war on a formal British ally? The coming conflict in the Pacific was already going to be the US vs Japan, both sides were already looking for improving their chances by 1914 and the German colonies help Japan a lot in this respect.
Britain can get into the war very easily. They allow a week or two of bloodshed on all fronts, then step in with a proposal that all sides agree to return to the status quo anti-bellum and allow a few days for answers, and that unless this is accepted Britain will look to its own interests in deciding what it will do. Germany will have had time to inflict token defeats but little more, and the front lines are unlikely to be on German soil anywhere, so it will be very easy to show Germany as the aggressor if she fails to accept such a humane offer.JAG13 wrote: ↑18 Sep 2019 04:31I dont know if the British would be "appeasing" Germany, Grey and others would certainly be doing their outmost to get into the war and, at the very least, help the Entente.
Can they do it once it becomes obvious that war was a bloodbath? Likely, they were convinced a blockade would strangle Germany within 6 months... but how do they get in?
Then again, there is always the option of a false flag attack, a CPs warship or submarine attacking a British vessel in error, or a rather stupid Germany declaring war on Japan when she tries to annex German territory in the Pacific in order to prevent the nasty Russians or French from grabbing them.