Wrong. You start by working out a strategy and what is required to implement it. Then it needs to be determined whether it is possible to supply these requirements and this depends also on the global allocation of resources between the different components of the armed forces and the civilian economy.ljadw wrote: ↑15 Feb 2021 12:56It is the opposite :the real issues areAida1 wrote: ↑15 Feb 2021 12:33Silly comment. The real issue is deciding how many Pz you want in a Pz Div, how many pz Div you want for the mission that is theirs and then you need to produce enough tanks and spare parts to equip them and sustain them given the losses you will have. From that viewpoint Germany certainly needed more production of tanks and spare parts in 1940. The end result was a seriously diminished panzer force by 1942 as production was not enough to replace the losses and in spite of that new divisions were set up. Guderian had to adress that issue in the beginning of 1943 and made some sound proposals The reasoning behind these would have been relevant in 1940 too.
1 how many tanks and spare parts can you produce , how many crew can you train ( FYI : tanks without crew are useless )
2 what are your options ( choices or forced options )
3 is the present tank division composition satisfying ? ( the answer in 1940 was negative )
4 if your choice implies the need of more PzD ( what it was,Barbarossa or no Barbarossa ) and you can't produce more tanks and there is no need for more tanks,the conclusion is very simple : more mobile units with less tanks .
5 Guderian did not complain in 1941 that his PzD did not have 400 tanks each ( it was the half ) ,thus he had no reason to propose tank divisions of 400 tanks after Stalingrad .
6 There was no need for such divisions, there was no possibility for such divisions and such divisions would be suicidal : NO ONE had tank divisions with 400 tank after August 1941 ,thus why should Germany have such divisions ?
7 After Stalingrad Germany did not need more tanks, but more motorized artillery .
Guderian is far more component than you to judge how many tanks a Pz Div needed to be a Pz Div in the true sense of the word. Germany needed not more Pz Div starting with the end of Barbarossa. It needed to make the existing ones stronger and use them only in their proper role. His memorandum in 1943 was essentially correct.